| 圖表：宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)景氣指數(shù)(1991年1月-2007年2月) |
| 中國(guó)發(fā)展門戶網(wǎng) www.chinagate.com.cn 2007 年 03 月 29 日 |
|
|
|
日期
|
預(yù)警指數(shù)
|
一致指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
|
先行指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
|
滯后指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
|
|
1991.01
|
88.0
|
99.67
|
101.99
|
103.83
|
|
1991.02
|
90.7
|
99.35
|
102.20
|
103.62
|
|
1991.03
|
84.0
|
99.65
|
102.74
|
103.15
|
|
1991.04
|
86.0
|
100.00
|
103.42
|
103.65
|
|
1991.05
|
89.3
|
101.02
|
103.81
|
104.43
|
|
1991.06
|
96.7
|
101.39
|
104.26
|
105.73
|
|
1991.07
|
100.7
|
101.70
|
104.30
|
105.94
|
|
1991.08
|
100.7
|
101.80
|
104.72
|
105.01
|
|
1991.09
|
100.7
|
101.86
|
105.45
|
104.47
|
|
1991.10
|
103.3
|
102.13
|
106.23
|
103.63
|
|
1991.11
|
106.7
|
102.15
|
106.55
|
103.31
|
|
1991.12
|
106.7
|
102.13
|
106.52
|
103.24
|
|
1992.01
|
113.3
|
103.46
|
106.88
|
104.14
|
|
1992.02
|
113.3
|
104.59
|
107.60
|
104.95
|
|
1992.03
|
116.0
|
104.88
|
108.44
|
105.27
|
|
1992.04
|
122.7
|
103.97
|
109.36
|
104.30
|
|
1992.05
|
120.7
|
102.80
|
110.13
|
103.64
|
|
1992.06
|
122.0
|
103.56
|
111.31
|
102.66
|
|
1992.07
|
115.3
|
104.18
|
112.14
|
102.51
|
|
1992.08
|
118.7
|
105.26
|
112.29
|
102.92
|
|
1992.09
|
121.3
|
105.44
|
110.95
|
102.60
|
|
1992.10
|
121.3
|
105.94
|
109.39
|
102.73
|
|
1992.11
|
132.0
|
106.66
|
108.52
|
102.58
|
|
1992.12
|
135.3
|
107.32
|
107.24
|
103.76
|
|
1993.01
|
139.3
|
109.77
|
107.31
|
104.98
|
|
1993.02
|
139.3
|
111.60
|
107.56
|
105.63
|
|
1993.03
|
142.0
|
113.68
|
108.16
|
105.15
|
|
1993.04
|
148.7
|
113.88
|
107.30
|
105.26
|
|
1993.05
|
148.7
|
114.14
|
106.03
|
105.76
|
|
1993.06
|
148.7
|
113.05
|
103.80
|
106.72
|
|
1993.07
|
142.7
|
111.15
|
102.24
|
106.87
|
|
1993.08
|
142.7
|
109.17
|
100.85
|
107.18
|
|
1993.09
|
132.0
|
107.80
|
101.24
|
107.92
|
|
1993.10
|
132.0
|
107.18
|
101.33
|
108.91
|
|
1993.11
|
135.3
|
108.08
|
103.58
|
109.94
|
|
1993.12
|
134.0
|
108.46
|
103.33
|
111.47
|
|
1994.01
|
130.7
|
106.48
|
101.74
|
113.57
|
|
1994.02
|
124.0
|
104.22
|
98.30
|
114.33
|
|
1994.03
|
117.3
|
103.48
|
97.16
|
113.67
|
|
1994.04
|
119.3
|
104.93
|
97.32
|
111.70
|
|
1994.05
|
119.3
|
105.77
|
97.26
|
110.96
|
|
1994.06
|
128.7
|
107.08
|
98.79
|
110.43
|
|
1994.07
|
132.7
|
108.72
|
99.70
|
110.74
|
|
1994.08
|
136.7
|
109.61
|
101.25
|
110.90
|
|
1994.09
|
139.3
|
109.53
|
100.77
|
111.16
|
|
1994.10
|
138.7
|
109.14
|
101.03
|
110.86
|
|
1994.11
|
138.7
|
108.79
|
99.32
|
110.07
|
|
1994.12
|
136.0
|
107.66
|
99.94
|
108.03
|
|
1995.01
|
132.0
|
106.49
|
100.72
|
104.96
|
|
1995.02
|
131.3
|
105.22
|
102.57
|
102.37
|
|
1995.03
|
124.0
|
104.05
|
102.63
|
101.30
|
|
1995.04
|
123.3
|
102.87
|
102.29
|
101.32
|
|
1995.05
|
126.0
|
102.32
|
102.08
|
100.84
|
|
1995.06
|
120.7
|
101.22
|
100.90
|
99.68
|
|
1995.07
|
109.3
|
100.42
|
100.52
|
97.98
|
|
1995.08
|
107.3
|
99.79
|
99.60
|
96.33
|
|
1995.09
|
111.3
|
100.15
|
99.93
|
94.91
|
|
1995.10
|
114.0
|
99.40
|
99.35
|
93.84
|
|
1995.11
|
114.0
|
99.56
|
99.89
|
93.72
|
|
1995.12
|
114.0
|
100.01
|
99.64
|
94.71
|
|
1996.01
|
111.3
|
101.55
|
99.40
|
96.35
|
|
1996.02
|
106.0
|
100.61
|
98.83
|
98.00
|
|
1996.03
|
106.0
|
100.24
|
98.68
|
99.09
|
|
1996.04
|
104.0
|
99.34
|
99.25
|
99.62
|
|
1996.05
|
106.7
|
99.38
|
99.99
|
99.97
|
|
1996.06
|
106.7
|
99.35
|
99.73
|
100.33
|
|
1996.07
|
105.3
|
99.38
|
99.81
|
100.99
|
|
1996.08
|
97.3
|
99.57
|
99.73
|
101.41
|
|
1996.09
|
93.3
|
99.66
|
100.81
|
101.56
|
|
1996.10
|
93.3
|
100.05
|
101.21
|
101.33
|
|
1996.11
|
92.0
|
100.44
|
101.45
|
100.61
|
|
1996.12
|
92.0
|
99.68
|
101.47
|
100.15
|
|
1997.01
|
94.7
|
98.55
|
101.50
|
99.22
|
|
1997.02
|
97.3
|
98.35
|
100.93
|
98.56
|
|
1997.03
|
100.0
|
98.35
|
100.81
|
98.34
|
|
1997.04
|
100.0
|
98.58
|
100.05
|
98.68
|
|
1997.05
|
99.3
|
98.05
|
99.68
|
99.36
|
|
1997.06
|
100.7
|
97.56
|
100.30
|
99.30
|
|
1997.07
|
94.0
|
97.03
|
100.25
|
99.08
|
|
1997.08
|
92.0
|
96.65
|
100.53
|
98.79
|
|
1997.09
|
96.0
|
96.62
|
99.59
|
98.63
|
|
1997.10
|
89.3
|
96.52
|
99.51
|
98.72
|
|
1997.11
|
88.0
|
95.81
|
99.33
|
98.51
|
|
1997.12
|
82.0
|
94.93
|
99.11
|
97.38
|
|
1998.01
|
74.0
|
94.09
|
99.26
|
96.59
|
|
1998.02
|
70.0
|
94.83
|
99.20
|
96.32
|
|
1998.03
|
62.0
|
94.92
|
99.07
|
95.85
|
|
1998.04
|
64.7
|
94.90
|
98.64
|
95.06
|
|
1998.05
|
58.7
|
94.11
|
98.01
|
93.71
|
|
1998.06
|
60.7
|
94.11
|
97.53
|
93.41
|
|
1998.07
|
60.7
|
94.61
|
96.83
|
93.26
|
|
1998.08
|
63.3
|
94.88
|
97.01
|
93.39
|
|
1998.09
|
63.3
|
94.97
|
97.64
|
93.43
|
|
1998.10
|
66.0
|
95.21
|
98.81
|
93.29
|
|
1998.11
|
70.0
|
95.11
|
98.72
|
93.17
|
|
1998.12
|
66.7
|
94.81
|
99.20
|
94.94
|
|
1999.01
|
62.7
|
94.14
|
99.18
|
95.30
|
|
1999.02
|
62.7
|
92.85
|
100.33
|
95.28
|
|
1999.03
|
60.0
|
92.65
|
100.19
|
93.52
|
|
1999.04
|
59.3
|
92.61
|
100.89
|
93.24
|
|
1999.05
|
59.3
|
93.43
|
101.31
|
93.30
|
|
1999.06
|
62.7
|
93.37
|
101.20
|
93.45
|
|
1999.07
|
62.7
|
93.06
|
101.36
|
93.40
|
|
1999.08
|
62.0
|
93.20
|
100.46
|
93.67
|
|
1999.09
|
70.0
|
93.42
|
99.80
|
93.63
|
|
1999.10
|
70.7
|
94.08
|
99.06
|
93.61
|
|
1999.11
|
77.3
|
94.35
|
99.85
|
93.07
|
|
1999.12
|
77.3
|
96.12
|
100.63
|
91.36
|
|
2000.01
|
75.3
|
96.55
|
101.16
|
91.37
|
|
2000.02
|
79.3
|
97.58
|
100.93
|
91.39
|
|
2000.03
|
83.3
|
96.95
|
100.98
|
92.91
|
|
2000.04
|
87.3
|
97.31
|
100.39
|
92.63
|
|
2000.05
|
87.3
|
97.03
|
100.03
|
92.38
|
|
2000.06
|
93.3
|
97.39
|
100.16
|
91.69
|
|
2000.07
|
90.7
|
97.94
|
100.20
|
91.55
|
|
2000.08
|
93.3
|
97.73
|
100.34
|
91.05
|
|
2000.09
|
93.3
|
97.39
|
99.88
|
90.95
|
|
2000.10
|
90.7
|
96.28
|
99.61
|
91.38
|
|
2000.11
|
86.7
|
95.95
|
98.89
|
92.52
|
|
2000.12
|
83.3
|
95.17
|
98.56
|
92.76
|
|
2001.01
|
91.3
|
96.45
|
98.63
|
92.48
|
|
2001.02
|
91.3
|
96.88
|
99.11
|
91.71
|
|
2001.03
|
91.3
|
97.54
|
99.62
|
91.75
|
|
2001.04
|
88.7
|
96.68
|
99.74
|
91.75
|
|
2001.05
|
85.3
|
96.33
|
99.69
|
92.31
|
|
2001.06
|
88.0
|
95.83
|
99.73
|
93.05
|
|
2001.07
|
83.3
|
95.29
|
100.10
|
93.22
|
|
2001.08
|
83.3
|
95.16
|
100.38
|
92.98
|
|
2001.09
|
76.7
|
95.03
|
100.32
|
92.52
|
|
2001.10
|
73.3
|
95.06
|
100.16
|
91.78
|
|
2001.11
|
76.0
|
95.01
|
100.33
|
91.46
|
|
2001.12
|
76.7
|
95.29
|
100.70
|
91.00
|
|
2002.01
|
76.7
|
94.99
|
100.73
|
90.93
|
|
2002.02
|
76.7
|
95.06
|
100.76
|
91.05
|
|
2002.03
|
76.7
|
95.48
|
100.67
|
91.10
|
|
2002.04
|
82.7
|
96.57
|
100.71
|
91.29
|
|
2002.05
|
85.3
|
97.01
|
100.82
|
91.25
|
|
2002.06
|
85.3
|
97.22
|
101.03
|
91.39
|
|
2002.07
|
89.3
|
97.16
|
101.20
|
91.71
|
|
2002.08
|
94.7
|
97.91
|
101.52
|
92.18
|
|
2002.09
|
94.7
|
98.34
|
101.65
|
92.69
|
|
2002.10
|
94.7
|
98.91
|
101.95
|
93.11
|
|
2002.11
|
100.7
|
98.46
|
101.37
|
93.37
|
|
2002.12
|
100.7
|
99.11
|
101.58
|
94.43
|
|
2003.01
|
107.3
|
100.03
|
101.87
|
95.09
|
|
2003.02
|
107.3
|
100.93
|
102.19
|
95.98
|
|
2003.03
|
104.7
|
100.23
|
101.31
|
96.38
|
|
2003.04
|
101.3
|
99.11
|
100.45
|
97.27
|
|
2003.05
|
97.3
|
99.07
|
100.53
|
97.55
|
|
2003.06
|
101.3
|
99.47
|
101.16
|
97.56
|
|
2003.07
|
105.3
|
99.94
|
101.99
|
97.49
|
|
2003.08
|
109.3
|
99.94
|
102.02
|
97.63
|
|
2003.09
|
109.3
|
99.92
|
102.37
|
97.99
|
|
2003.10
|
112.0
|
100.00
|
102.39
|
98.43
|
|
2003.11
|
112.0
|
100.40
|
102.56
|
98.69
|
|
2003.12
|
112.7
|
101.02
|
102.68
|
98.65
|
|
2004.01
|
112.7
|
101.86
|
102.39
|
98.59
|
|
2004.02
|
118.7
|
102.34
|
102.52
|
98.73
|
|
2004.03
|
121.3
|
102.63
|
102.37
|
99.15
|
|
2004.04
|
118.0
|
102.50
|
102.32
|
99.43
|
|
2004.05
|
112.0
|
102.21
|
101.64
|
99.45
|
|
2004.06
|
112.0
|
101.86
|
101.08
|
99.29
|
|
2004.07
|
105.3
|
101.52
|
100.84
|
99.10
|
|
2004.08
|
97.3
|
101.21
|
100.88
|
99.12
|
|
2004.09
|
97.3
|
101.11
|
100.71
|
98.76
|
|
2004.10
|
97.3
|
101.09
|
100.76
|
98.07
|
|
2004.11
|
97.3
|
101.16
|
100.68
|
97.23
|
|
2004.12
|
100.0
|
100.54
|
100.99
|
96.41
|
|
2005.01
|
100.0
|
100.04
|
101.22
|
96.46
|
|
2005.02
|
100.0
|
99.70
|
101.49
|
96.17
|
|
2005.03
|
97.3
|
99.92
|
101.83
|
95.69
|
|
2005.04
|
97.3
|
100.15
|
102.24
|
94.49
|
|
2005.05
|
97.3
|
100.49
|
102.60
|
93.60
|
|
2005.06
|
104.0
|
100.63
|
102.59
|
93.22
|
|
2005.07
|
104.0
|
100.86
|
102.47
|
93.02
|
|
2005.08
|
102.7
|
100.86
|
102.40
|
92.87
|
|
2005.09
|
102.7
|
101.00
|
102.30
|
92.96
|
|
2005.10
|
102.7
|
100.93
|
102.00
|
93.43
|
|
2005.11
|
106.7
|
100.85
|
102.05
|
94.01
|
|
2005.12
|
104.0
|
101.04
|
102.21
|
94.92
|
|
2006.01
|
101.3
|
100.83
|
102.66
|
94.53
|
|
2006.02
|
101.3
|
100.94
|
102.87
|
94.53
|
|
2006.03
|
101.3
|
100.82
|
102.82
|
94.17
|
|
2006.04
|
101.3
|
101.35
|
102.53
|
94.86
|
|
2006.05
|
104.0
|
101.56
|
102.31
|
95.71
|
|
2006.06
|
106.7
|
101.64
|
102.04
|
96.35
|
|
2006.07
|
106.7
|
101.39
|
101.89
|
97.11
|
|
2006.08
|
105.3
|
101.17
|
101.98
|
97.56
|
|
2006.09
|
100.0
|
100.93
|
102.27
|
97.93
|
|
2006.10
|
100.0
|
100.94
|
102.49
|
98.31
|
|
2006.11
|
106.7
|
100.69
|
102.52
|
98.51
|
|
2006.12
|
104.0
|
101.02
|
103.00
|
98.24
|
|
2007.01
|
104.0
|
101.20
|
102.96
|
99.14
|
|
2007.02
|
106.7
|
101.66
|
102.81
|
99.98
|
宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)景氣指數(shù)：一致指數(shù)是反映當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)的基本走勢(shì)，由工業(yè)生產(chǎn)、就業(yè)、社會(huì)需求（投資、消費(fèi)、外貿(mào)）、社會(huì)收入（國(guó)家稅收、企業(yè)利潤(rùn)、居民收入）等4個(gè)方面合成；先行指數(shù)是由一組領(lǐng)先于一致指數(shù)的先行指標(biāo)合成，用于對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)未來(lái)的走勢(shì)進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)；滯后指數(shù)是由落后于一致指數(shù)的滯后指標(biāo)合成得到，它主要用于對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)循環(huán)的峰與谷的一種確認(rèn)。(數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源：國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局) |
| 來(lái)源： 中國(guó)發(fā)展門戶網(wǎng) |
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