| 圖表：宏觀經濟景氣指數(2007年4月) |
| 中國發展門戶網 www.chinagate.com.cn 2007 年 05 月 30 日 |
|
|
|
日期
|
預警指數
|
一致指數
(1996年＝100)
|
先行指數
(1996年＝100)
|
滯后指數
(1996年＝100)
|
|
1991.01
|
88.0
|
99.65
|
102.01
|
103.88
|
|
1991.02
|
90.7
|
99.34
|
102.22
|
103.66
|
|
1991.03
|
84.0
|
99.65
|
102.77
|
103.18
|
|
1991.04
|
86.0
|
100.00
|
103.45
|
103.69
|
|
1991.05
|
89.3
|
101.03
|
103.83
|
104.47
|
|
1991.06
|
96.7
|
101.40
|
104.28
|
105.78
|
|
1991.07
|
100.7
|
101.71
|
104.33
|
105.98
|
|
1991.08
|
100.7
|
101.80
|
104.75
|
105.05
|
|
1991.09
|
100.7
|
101.86
|
105.48
|
104.51
|
|
1991.10
|
103.3
|
102.13
|
106.27
|
103.66
|
|
1991.11
|
106.7
|
102.15
|
106.60
|
103.34
|
|
1991.12
|
106.7
|
102.13
|
106.56
|
103.27
|
|
1992.01
|
113.3
|
103.46
|
106.91
|
104.18
|
|
1992.02
|
113.3
|
104.59
|
107.63
|
104.99
|
|
1992.03
|
116.0
|
104.88
|
108.47
|
105.31
|
|
1992.04
|
122.7
|
103.97
|
109.40
|
104.33
|
|
1992.05
|
120.7
|
102.79
|
110.18
|
103.66
|
|
1992.06
|
122.0
|
103.55
|
111.37
|
102.68
|
|
1992.07
|
115.3
|
104.16
|
112.20
|
102.52
|
|
1992.08
|
118.7
|
105.25
|
112.35
|
102.93
|
|
1992.09
|
121.3
|
105.43
|
111.00
|
102.61
|
|
1992.10
|
121.3
|
105.94
|
109.44
|
102.74
|
|
1992.11
|
132.0
|
106.66
|
108.56
|
102.60
|
|
1992.12
|
135.3
|
107.33
|
107.28
|
103.79
|
|
1993.01
|
139.3
|
109.76
|
107.36
|
105.02
|
|
1993.02
|
139.3
|
111.58
|
107.61
|
105.66
|
|
1993.03
|
142.0
|
113.64
|
108.22
|
105.18
|
|
1993.04
|
148.7
|
113.87
|
107.34
|
105.29
|
|
1993.05
|
148.7
|
114.13
|
106.07
|
105.79
|
|
1993.06
|
148.7
|
113.05
|
103.83
|
106.76
|
|
1993.07
|
142.7
|
111.16
|
102.25
|
106.92
|
|
1993.08
|
142.7
|
109.18
|
100.85
|
107.23
|
|
1993.09
|
132.0
|
107.79
|
101.24
|
107.98
|
|
1993.10
|
132.0
|
107.17
|
101.34
|
108.97
|
|
1993.11
|
135.3
|
108.08
|
103.61
|
110.00
|
|
1993.12
|
134.0
|
108.45
|
103.35
|
111.53
|
|
1994.01
|
130.7
|
106.49
|
101.76
|
113.65
|
|
1994.02
|
124.0
|
104.23
|
98.30
|
114.40
|
|
1994.03
|
117.3
|
103.50
|
97.16
|
113.74
|
|
1994.04
|
119.3
|
104.93
|
97.32
|
111.75
|
|
1994.05
|
119.3
|
105.77
|
97.26
|
111.00
|
|
1994.06
|
128.7
|
107.08
|
98.80
|
110.46
|
|
1994.07
|
132.7
|
108.72
|
99.71
|
110.77
|
|
1994.08
|
136.7
|
109.62
|
101.28
|
110.94
|
|
1994.09
|
139.3
|
109.54
|
100.79
|
111.19
|
|
1994.10
|
138.7
|
109.15
|
101.05
|
110.88
|
|
1994.11
|
138.7
|
108.79
|
99.33
|
110.09
|
|
1994.12
|
136.0
|
107.66
|
99.95
|
108.04
|
|
1995.01
|
132.0
|
106.50
|
100.74
|
104.97
|
|
1995.02
|
131.3
|
105.23
|
102.60
|
102.37
|
|
1995.03
|
124.0
|
104.07
|
102.65
|
101.30
|
|
1995.04
|
123.3
|
102.89
|
102.30
|
101.32
|
|
1995.05
|
126.0
|
102.33
|
102.09
|
100.84
|
|
1995.06
|
120.7
|
101.21
|
100.91
|
99.68
|
|
1995.07
|
109.3
|
100.43
|
100.52
|
97.98
|
|
1995.08
|
107.3
|
99.80
|
99.60
|
96.31
|
|
1995.09
|
111.3
|
100.17
|
99.93
|
94.89
|
|
1995.10
|
114.0
|
99.42
|
99.35
|
93.81
|
|
1995.11
|
114.0
|
99.58
|
99.89
|
93.69
|
|
1995.12
|
114.0
|
100.01
|
99.64
|
94.68
|
|
1996.01
|
111.3
|
101.53
|
99.39
|
96.34
|
|
1996.02
|
106.0
|
100.61
|
98.82
|
98.00
|
|
1996.03
|
106.0
|
100.24
|
98.68
|
99.10
|
|
1996.04
|
104.0
|
99.35
|
99.25
|
99.62
|
|
1996.05
|
106.7
|
99.39
|
99.99
|
99.98
|
|
1996.06
|
106.7
|
99.37
|
99.73
|
100.34
|
|
1996.07
|
105.3
|
99.39
|
99.81
|
100.99
|
|
1996.08
|
97.3
|
99.57
|
99.73
|
101.41
|
|
1996.09
|
93.3
|
99.65
|
100.81
|
101.56
|
|
1996.10
|
93.3
|
100.05
|
101.21
|
101.33
|
|
1996.11
|
92.0
|
100.44
|
101.46
|
100.61
|
|
1996.12
|
92.0
|
99.69
|
101.48
|
100.14
|
|
1997.01
|
94.7
|
98.56
|
101.51
|
99.20
|
|
1997.02
|
97.3
|
98.35
|
100.94
|
98.54
|
|
1997.03
|
100.0
|
98.34
|
100.83
|
98.31
|
|
1997.04
|
100.0
|
98.57
|
100.07
|
98.65
|
|
1997.05
|
99.3
|
98.04
|
99.70
|
99.33
|
|
1997.06
|
100.7
|
97.54
|
100.32
|
99.27
|
|
1997.07
|
94.0
|
97.01
|
100.27
|
99.05
|
|
1997.08
|
92.0
|
96.64
|
100.55
|
98.76
|
|
1997.09
|
96.0
|
96.61
|
99.60
|
98.60
|
|
1997.10
|
89.3
|
96.52
|
99.51
|
98.69
|
|
1997.11
|
88.0
|
95.80
|
99.34
|
98.48
|
|
1997.12
|
82.0
|
94.93
|
99.11
|
97.34
|
|
1998.01
|
74.0
|
94.09
|
99.26
|
96.56
|
|
1998.02
|
70.0
|
94.82
|
99.20
|
96.28
|
|
1998.03
|
62.0
|
94.91
|
99.07
|
95.82
|
|
1998.04
|
64.7
|
94.89
|
98.64
|
95.03
|
|
1998.05
|
58.7
|
94.11
|
98.01
|
93.67
|
|
1998.06
|
60.7
|
94.12
|
97.53
|
93.37
|
|
1998.07
|
60.7
|
94.62
|
96.82
|
93.21
|
|
1998.08
|
63.3
|
94.90
|
97.01
|
93.34
|
|
1998.09
|
63.3
|
94.98
|
97.64
|
93.38
|
|
1998.10
|
66.0
|
95.22
|
98.82
|
93.24
|
|
1998.11
|
70.0
|
95.12
|
98.73
|
93.12
|
|
1998.12
|
66.7
|
94.81
|
99.20
|
94.91
|
|
1999.01
|
62.7
|
94.15
|
99.18
|
95.27
|
|
1999.02
|
62.7
|
92.86
|
100.33
|
95.24
|
|
1999.03
|
60.0
|
92.67
|
100.19
|
93.47
|
|
1999.04
|
59.3
|
92.62
|
100.90
|
93.19
|
|
1999.05
|
59.3
|
93.42
|
101.32
|
93.25
|
|
1999.06
|
62.7
|
93.36
|
101.21
|
93.39
|
|
1999.07
|
62.7
|
93.05
|
101.36
|
93.35
|
|
1999.08
|
62.0
|
93.19
|
100.46
|
93.62
|
|
1999.09
|
70.0
|
93.40
|
99.80
|
93.58
|
|
1999.10
|
70.7
|
94.06
|
99.06
|
93.56
|
|
1999.11
|
77.3
|
94.34
|
99.85
|
93.02
|
|
1999.12
|
77.3
|
96.10
|
100.64
|
91.29
|
|
2000.01
|
75.3
|
96.53
|
101.17
|
91.30
|
|
2000.02
|
79.3
|
97.56
|
100.94
|
91.32
|
|
2000.03
|
83.3
|
96.94
|
100.99
|
92.85
|
|
2000.04
|
87.3
|
97.29
|
100.39
|
92.56
|
|
2000.05
|
87.3
|
97.02
|
100.03
|
92.32
|
|
2000.06
|
93.3
|
97.38
|
100.16
|
91.63
|
|
2000.07
|
90.7
|
97.92
|
100.20
|
91.48
|
|
2000.08
|
93.3
|
97.71
|
100.34
|
90.99
|
|
2000.09
|
93.3
|
97.37
|
99.89
|
90.89
|
|
2000.10
|
90.7
|
96.27
|
99.61
|
91.33
|
|
2000.11
|
86.7
|
95.94
|
98.89
|
92.47
|
|
2000.12
|
83.3
|
95.17
|
98.56
|
92.71
|
|
2001.01
|
91.3
|
96.43
|
98.63
|
92.42
|
|
2001.02
|
91.3
|
96.86
|
99.11
|
91.65
|
|
2001.03
|
91.3
|
97.52
|
99.62
|
91.70
|
|
2001.04
|
88.7
|
96.67
|
99.74
|
91.70
|
|
2001.05
|
85.3
|
96.33
|
99.69
|
92.27
|
|
2001.06
|
88.0
|
95.83
|
99.73
|
93.00
|
|
2001.07
|
83.3
|
95.29
|
100.10
|
93.17
|
|
2001.08
|
83.3
|
95.17
|
100.37
|
92.93
|
|
2001.09
|
76.7
|
95.03
|
100.31
|
92.47
|
|
2001.10
|
73.3
|
95.06
|
100.16
|
91.73
|
|
2001.11
|
76.0
|
95.01
|
100.33
|
91.41
|
|
2001.12
|
76.7
|
95.29
|
100.70
|
90.95
|
|
2002.01
|
76.7
|
94.99
|
100.72
|
90.88
|
|
2002.02
|
76.7
|
95.07
|
100.76
|
90.99
|
|
2002.03
|
76.7
|
95.49
|
100.67
|
91.04
|
|
2002.04
|
82.7
|
96.58
|
100.71
|
91.23
|
|
2002.05
|
85.3
|
97.01
|
100.82
|
91.19
|
|
2002.06
|
85.3
|
97.22
|
101.03
|
91.33
|
|
2002.07
|
89.3
|
97.15
|
101.21
|
91.65
|
|
2002.08
|
94.7
|
97.90
|
101.52
|
92.12
|
|
2002.09
|
94.7
|
98.33
|
101.65
|
92.64
|
|
2002.10
|
94.7
|
98.90
|
101.95
|
93.06
|
|
2002.11
|
100.7
|
98.44
|
101.37
|
93.32
|
|
2002.12
|
100.7
|
99.09
|
101.58
|
94.38
|
|
2003.01
|
107.3
|
100.00
|
101.87
|
95.05
|
|
2003.02
|
107.3
|
100.90
|
102.19
|
95.95
|
|
2003.03
|
104.7
|
100.21
|
101.32
|
96.34
|
|
2003.04
|
101.3
|
99.10
|
100.45
|
97.24
|
|
2003.05
|
97.3
|
99.06
|
100.53
|
97.52
|
|
2003.06
|
101.3
|
99.46
|
101.17
|
97.54
|
|
2003.07
|
109.3
|
99.93
|
102.00
|
97.47
|
|
2003.08
|
109.3
|
99.93
|
102.03
|
97.61
|
|
2003.09
|
109.3
|
99.91
|
102.38
|
97.97
|
|
2003.10
|
112.0
|
99.98
|
102.41
|
98.41
|
|
2003.11
|
112.0
|
100.39
|
102.58
|
98.67
|
|
2003.12
|
112.7
|
101.01
|
102.69
|
98.63
|
|
2004.01
|
112.7
|
101.85
|
102.41
|
98.58
|
|
2004.02
|
118.7
|
102.32
|
102.53
|
98.72
|
|
2004.03
|
125.3
|
102.61
|
102.38
|
99.14
|
|
2004.04
|
114.7
|
102.48
|
102.33
|
99.43
|
|
2004.05
|
112.0
|
102.18
|
101.65
|
99.45
|
|
2004.06
|
112.0
|
101.84
|
101.09
|
99.29
|
|
2004.07
|
105.3
|
101.51
|
100.84
|
99.10
|
|
2004.08
|
97.3
|
101.20
|
100.88
|
99.12
|
|
2004.09
|
97.3
|
101.10
|
100.71
|
98.76
|
|
2004.10
|
97.3
|
101.09
|
100.76
|
98.07
|
|
2004.11
|
97.3
|
101.15
|
100.67
|
97.23
|
|
2004.12
|
100.0
|
100.53
|
100.99
|
96.41
|
|
2005.01
|
100.0
|
100.04
|
101.21
|
96.46
|
|
2005.02
|
100.0
|
99.69
|
101.49
|
96.17
|
|
2005.03
|
97.3
|
99.92
|
101.83
|
95.68
|
|
2005.04
|
97.3
|
100.14
|
102.24
|
94.47
|
|
2005.05
|
97.3
|
100.48
|
102.60
|
93.58
|
|
2005.06
|
104.0
|
100.62
|
102.60
|
93.20
|
|
2005.07
|
104.0
|
100.84
|
102.48
|
93.00
|
|
2005.08
|
106.7
|
100.85
|
102.41
|
92.85
|
|
2005.09
|
102.7
|
100.99
|
102.31
|
92.94
|
|
2005.10
|
106.7
|
100.92
|
102.00
|
93.41
|
|
2005.11
|
106.7
|
100.83
|
102.06
|
94.00
|
|
2005.12
|
104.0
|
101.03
|
102.22
|
94.91
|
|
2006.01
|
101.3
|
100.82
|
102.67
|
94.51
|
|
2006.02
|
101.3
|
100.93
|
102.88
|
94.51
|
|
2006.03
|
104.7
|
100.81
|
102.83
|
94.15
|
|
2006.04
|
107.3
|
101.34
|
102.54
|
94.84
|
|
2006.05
|
107.3
|
101.55
|
102.32
|
95.69
|
|
2006.06
|
106.7
|
101.63
|
102.04
|
96.33
|
|
2006.07
|
106.7
|
101.37
|
101.90
|
97.09
|
|
2006.08
|
105.3
|
101.15
|
101.99
|
97.54
|
|
2006.09
|
100.0
|
100.91
|
102.28
|
97.92
|
|
2006.10
|
100.0
|
100.93
|
102.50
|
98.30
|
|
2006.11
|
104.0
|
100.68
|
102.53
|
98.50
|
|
2006.12
|
101.3
|
101.28
|
103.02
|
98.09
|
|
2007.01
|
101.3
|
101.65
|
102.97
|
98.77
|
|
2007.02
|
108.0
|
102.03
|
102.77
|
99.05
|
|
2007.03
|
108.0
|
102.06
|
102.54
|
99.97
|
|
2007.04
|
108.0
|
102.19
|
102.88
|
99.62
|
指標解釋：(編制方法及簡要分析參見www.cemac.org.cn)一致指數是反映當前經濟的基本走勢，由工業生產、就業、社會需求（投資、消費、外貿）、社會收入（國家稅收、企業利潤、居民收入）等4個方面合成；先行指數是由一組領先于一致指數的先行指標合成，用于對經濟未來的走勢進行預測；滯后指數是由落后于一致指數的滯后指標合成得到，它主要用于對經濟循環的峰與谷的一種確認；預警指數是把經濟運行的狀態分為5個級別，“紅燈”表示經濟過熱，“黃燈”表示經濟偏熱，“綠燈”表示經濟運行正常，“淺藍燈”表示經濟偏冷，“藍燈”表示經濟過冷。（統計局）
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| 來源： 中國發展門戶網 |
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